Quarantined Pilot

Tactics of Organizational PoliticsInitiatives and OpticsA borderline tactic

Risky or unpopular changes are tried first in a small, low-influence unit, so the sponsor can show that something was attempted while any failure stays contained there.

Borderline: whether this move is justified depends on the situation, and only the person in it can judge.

An example

Scheduled callbacks in place of hold queues were what the head of customer operations at a regional wireless carrier wanted, and the large postpaid support centers had rejected the idea twice because it disrupted their staffing models. The operations head left the centers alone and offered the trial to the prepaid support team: forty agents in one building, a small share of revenue, and a manager who had asked for help with abandoned calls. The prepaid manager got two extra workforce analysts, a direct line to the operations head, and a promise that results would be reported as the team's. Abandonment fell from nineteen percent to seven in four months, and the one failure, a weekend outage of the callback tool, affected a few hundred customers. In month five the postpaid centers asked for the data.

Why it works

Choosing a unit whose failure carries little reputational, financial, or political cost brings the sponsor's exposure to a failed attempt close to zero, which makes trying the change easy. It also shifts some of the cost onto inaction: having tried it, the sponsor can ask those who would block any pilot why they prefer doing nothing. For it to work, departments must differ in weight, the sponsor needs a say over where pilots run, and the chosen unit must be willing to take the role. It fails when the unit's leader sees the role and refuses, or when the wider organization notices the unrepresentative venue and discounts both success and failure.

The thinking behind it

Avinash K. Dixit In Investment under Uncertainty (1994), Dixit and Pindyck treat the ability to wait before an irreversible commitment as an option with value, so it can pay to learn cheaply first. A pilot in a small unit buys information about a risky change while the company can still withdraw at little cost. The logic holds only if the result is read correctly, which is why the clean form states how the host unit differs from the core.

Daniel Kahneman Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979) found that losses loom larger than gains of the same size. Leaders of large units block risky changes partly because the possible losses weigh more with them than the possible gains. A contained pilot shrinks the loss anyone has to accept, so trying becomes acceptable where a full launch was not.

When it fits

Use it when a change carries real risk, you cannot get approval to try it where it matters most, and a smaller unit could host a fair test. You need a say over where pilots run, a unit whose leader has a reason to want the change, and enough resources to support that unit properly. It fits sponsors who need evidence before they can win the larger argument.

How to use it well

  • Offer the pilot to the unit's leader as a choice, with the risks explained, and make it worth their while: extra staff, direct access, credit for the results.
  • Agree in advance what success and failure look like, and how results will be reported.
  • Watch the pilot closely, so a failure stays small and is caught early.
  • Say openly how the unit differs from the core units, so the results are read correctly.

Then use the result honestly. A success in a small unit is a reason for a larger test, and a failure is information whose cost you carry as sponsor.

What it costs and where it backfires

Results from a marginal unit transfer imperfectly, and the core units will discount them, sometimes fairly. If the same unit keeps hosting risky trials, it becomes the organization's laboratory for changes it never chose, and its standing falls further with each absorbed failure. The clean form ends at consent and support. Once a unit is drafted without a say, denied the resources to succeed, or left to carry the blame, the pilot sets that unit up to fail, and its leader will notice.

When it is used on you

If your unit is chosen as the pilot site for a risky change and the core units have no rollout plan, recognize the role. Either decline, or negotiate support in return: resources, access, credit, and a say in how results are reported. If you are watching from elsewhere, discount both the success and the failure of a pilot run in an unrepresentative venue.

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