Scott E. Page

ThinkersComplexity scientist

Works

  • The Difference: How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools, and Societies, 2007
  • The Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You, 2018

In Thinking Tools

Known for

A University of Michigan professor of complex systems, he proved the diversity prediction theorem: a crowd's squared error equals the average individual squared error minus the diversity of the predictions, so a crowd is more accurate the more its members differ. The Model Thinker argues for reasoning with many models at once.

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