Headcount Shell Game

Tactics of Organizational PoliticsBudgets and ResourcesA tactic to guard againstAlso known as Shadow Headcount

During a hiring freeze, a favored unit grows through contractors and consultants booked as services, so its reported headcount stays flat while peers who obeyed the freeze look like underperformers.

An example

Under a company-wide freeze at a national telecom carrier, the head of network operations cut two open roles and asked her teams to absorb the work. Across the hall, the enterprise unit kept reporting flat headcount while launching three new products. At the quarterly business review, the chief executive praised enterprise for scaling through the freeze and asked network operations why its backlog had grown. The network head pulled the procurement ledger and found that enterprise's spending under one master services agreement had risen 60 percent in nine months, roughly ninety contractors working full time on the product teams. No single document showed the total. HR saw employees, finance saw a consulting line, and the product budget showed capitalized labor. She took the reconciliation to the controller, who produced the company's first total-workforce report the following quarter.

Why it works

Routing people through a services line makes growing the favored unit look easier, because the freeze polices payroll and the political cost of breaking it disappears. It makes compliance look costlier for everyone else: peers who played it straight now look as if they failed to scale on the same benchmark. Where contractors carry a whole initiative, scrutiny gets expensive too, since no one has the full picture to point at. Three things make it possible: a constraint defined on a narrow object such as payroll employees, a discretionary procurement budget, and no consolidated view of employees plus contractors.

The thinking behind it

Oliver E. Williamson In Markets and Hierarchies: Analysis and Antitrust Implications (1975), Williamson assumes that rationality is bounded, so rules are always incomplete, and that some people are opportunistic, which he later described as including incomplete or distorted disclosure. A freeze defined on payroll is an incomplete rule, and the favored unit works the gap between its letter and its intent. Caps on total workforce cost write the rule closer to what it was meant to control.

George A. Akerlof Akerlof's The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism (1970) explains the power of whoever knows what others cannot check. Only the favored unit knows how many people really work for it, and the figures everyone else sees come from three systems that never reconcile. Because the controller cannot verify, compliant units get no credit for complying, which is why a total-workforce report changes the comparison.

Warning signs

Reported headcount is flat while contractor and services spend in the same unit climbs sharply. The unit's capacity grows under a freeze everyone else obeys. Rosters show a fraction of the people working on a program, and no consolidated profit and loss statement exists for it. Contractors attend standups, hold badges, and own deliverables. Questions about total cost get three partial figures from three functions.

How to defend yourself

Assemble the single document that does not exist. Combine payroll, contractor spend, consulting, and capitalized labor for the unit or program, and show the gap between its official and actual size. If you are told the request is a fishing expedition, narrow it to one quarter and one unit. One clean reconciliation tends to make the case for the rest.

  • Take it to the controller, the chief financial officer, or the audit committee, who have the standing to require it.
  • Put your own unit's cost of compliance next to it, so the benchmark comparison is corrected along with the numbers.
  • Leave the contractors and the program alone, and ask only for consolidated reporting.

How a leader shuts it down

Define freezes and caps on total person-hours or total workforce cost, never on payroll alone. Have the controller publish total-workforce reporting by unit every quarter, and ask audit committees to question growth in contractor spend. Expect the activity to move to the next exempt category, such as capitalized labor, and close it there too.

Back to the catalog