Works
- Good Judgment Project (IARPA forecasting tournament), 2011
- Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, 2015
In Thinking Tools
Known for
A political psychologist who studies forecasting and judgment. His Good Judgment Project competed from 2011 in a forecasting tournament run by the US intelligence research agency IARPA, and Superforecasting, written with Dan Gardner, describes the habits of its most accurate forecasters.