Works
- Long-range forecasting study with Olaf Helmer (RAND paper P-2982), 1964
- Initial Experiments with the Cross Impact Matrix Method of Forecasting, Futures, 1968
- Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0, 2009
In Thinking Tools
Known for
A futurist who worked with Olaf Helmer at RAND on early Delphi forecasting, developed cross-impact analysis with Helmer in 1966 to model how events change one another's likelihood, and was among the founders of the Institute for the Future. With Jerome C. Glenn he edited the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, writing its chapters on Delphi and cross-impact analysis.