Hanlon's Razor

Thinking Tools1.3 Framing the Situation

Named for Robert J. Hanlon (a submission to Murphy's Law Book Two, 1980), with an earlier form in Robert A. Heinlein (Logic of Empire, 1941).

Sets a default of reading harmful behavior as error, overload, or circumstance until evidence shows intent, which matches the response to the likely cause.

When to reach for it

When a colleague, customer, or counterpart does something that feels like a deliberate slight and the next move depends on why they did it.

How it runs

  1. Pause when behavior feels like deliberate harm.
  2. List innocent explanations: overload, miscommunication, ignorance, or constraints.
  3. Estimate how likely each is compared with malice.
  4. Respond to the most probable cause.
  5. Reserve the charge of malice for evidence that survives.

Where it sits in SOLVE eX

Go to the source

  • Murphy's Law Book Two, ed. Arthur Bloch, 1980
  • Logic of Empire, 1941

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