Works
- The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Random House, 2007
- Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, Random House, 2012
- Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, Random House, 2018
In Thinking Tools
Known for
A former options trader who writes on risk and probability. His books argue that rare, high-impact events dominate outcomes; that some systems gain from volatility, which he calls antifragility; that a barbell of very safe and very risky positions beats the middle; that the life expectancy of nonperishable things grows with their age, the Lindy effect; and that decision makers should bear the consequences of their decisions. They are essays for a general reader, with technical appendices.
Caveat: Some statisticians have faulted his treatment of statistics as ignoring robust methods.